Ckb 如何满足人的长期需求

在此之前需要做下词语辨析,比特币如此牛逼,是中本聪的功劳,还是人民群众的功劳。

当行业提中本聪愿景时,是否陷入了政治正确,而忘记了中本聪真正想要的是服务人民群众的去中心化货币,而比特币满足了人民群众价值存储的需求。

比特币之所以牛逼和其他牛逼的公司和产品一样,是人的长期(价值存储)需求带来了比特币现在的地位。而不是其他。

满足人的长期需求是最终的着力点(不排除投机需求)。

除了比特币满足了价值存储需求,和 eth、sol 满足了自动化信任的交易需求。其他链并没有满足更多的长期的需求。这也是 ckb 长时间来,虽然做着正确的事,而无法形成真正生态的根本原因。

因相信尚未现实的 web5 匆忙投资 ckb,ckb 下跌给我带来巨额亏损,但我仍然期冀于 ckb 能做一些真正革新行业,并给人产生价值的事。

行业是否已经完蛋了,对自动化信任的需求没了吗?

当 ai 真正的成为各行各业的底层,机器侵入人的生活,人与 ai 的信任问题将成为首要问题,大数据杀熟,信息推荐带来信息茧房只是未来人与 ai 未来不信任关系的预演。ai获取人的信任可能比 ai 具备 agi 能力更难。解决人与ai的自动化信任会是长期需求。

同样闪电网络也是在这一视角下,具备长期需求。

与其说中本聪愿景,不如谈谈 ckb 和核心产品给人带来什么价值、自动化信任产品满足人切身的什么需求。这才是现实之道。

web5 是不是未来先不说,先要细致研究,web5是否能满足人的需求,在当前时代,web 最重要的变量是 ai ,ai 带来的是 web 从静态的信息变成具有主体性的类“人”,如果在之前,web2+web3 并不比腾讯更好的服务用户,但 ai 主体性的出现,这一局面就改变了,web5 本质是解决被具有主体性ai重构的web 与人的信任问题。web5 就成了有需求的而不是泛泛的形而上的概念。以用户为中心在 web2 时代方法论没问题,但去中心化的自动化信任是 ai 的解药。

不否认,pow utxo 闪电网络等技术创新的重要,优美,但技术并不天然满足人的需求,满足人的需求是 runckb 得以 run 的根本。社区并没有满足人需求的意识,所以我想不断重申 满足人需求 这不仅是商业世界,也是现实世界产品得以被接受的根本原则。

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快速​公路 类比 马车

Analogies can help to grasp complex projects so that they can be mentally pigeonholed.
Blocks put together form a road.
Isn’t it remarkable that we have to describe what the road is capable of transporting?
That we build a high-speed road with many parallel lanes that has all kinds of safety features and technical refinements, but we hardly have any vehicles traveling on it. Or they are mostly carriages pulled by horses, which also ride well on unpaved dirt roads.

If we now consider Lightning, then this is a car transporter that is located on a modern and well-surfaced road and can load and unload any number of high-speed vehicles as required at lightning speed. Billing is only based on demand, depending on how many cars have been loaded and unloaded along the way. This imaginary transporter is then replaced by a new transporter that has a certain load or capacity. Lightning is therefore an application for particularly well-developed roads, as the transporters in this analogy require fundamental safety and the good condition in order to be loaded and unloaded quickly and reliably.

Horse-drawn carriages can also benefit from this well-developed road. In my vision, these would be BTC transactions, for example, which can also make good progress over the slow old dirt road, as was only known in those days. Horse-drawn carriages can be catapulted across the highway via a ckBTC horse-drawn carriage transporter and only dropped off there at the exit to the original BTC dirt road at the point or time when they are needed. This even happens in real time as the horse-drawn carriage transporters are usually also moved on car transporters for efficiency.

Have fun with mental games. How many horse-drawn carriages are transported on highways today? How many horse-drawn carriages move along unpaved country lanes today?

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高速公路修在无人区和链接繁华城市之间是有很大区别的。繁华城市本质又是人群的需求,核心还是如何服务人。

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